Project Details
Abstract
During this three-year investigation we will use a combination of questionnaire
survey results and detailed interviews with indigenous experts to gather
epidemiological data for use with complex network theory, agent-based modeling
and network-oriented simulation approach, and traditional epidemiological models
to construct a general-purpose daily contact social network. The data and network
will be used to develop five epidemic simulation model suites for Taiwan’s five
most serious infection epidemic types: close-distance infectious diseases (e.g., SARS),
infectious diseases transmitted via air droplets (e.g., novel forms of influenza),
long-term chronic seizure infectious diseases (e.g., tuberculosis), sexually
transmitted diseases (e.g., HIV), and intermediary vector diseases (e.g., dengue
fever). In year three, our task will be to assess the efficacies of public health
strategies for prevention and control, vaccine development, and antivirus efforts, as
well as their second-order social emergence.
Specific secondary research topics will include: 1) developing interpersonal social
networks and analyzing network topological properties; 2) developing a simulation
model for close-distance infectious diseases based on daily social contact networks
and using it to assess the efficacies of various public health policies; 3) using the
social mirror identity concept to develop a simulation model for infectious diseases
transmitted via air droplets and using it to determine the best vaccine and antivirus
strategies in response to a novel form of influenza; 4) using a simulation model for
long-term chronic infectious diseases to determine the best Directly Observed
therapy (D.O.T.) prevention and intervention strategies for achieving the goal of the
Taiwan Center for Disease Control to eradicate tuberculosis; 5) using a simulation
model for sexually transmitted diseases to explore social behaviors that affect HIV
transmission among Taiwanese homosexuals and intravenous drug users; and 6)
using a simulation model for vector infectious diseases to analyze the impacts of
various public sanitation policies on efforts to control disease in southern Taiwan.
Project IDs
Project ID:PB9709-3563
External Project ID:NSC97-2221-E182-046
External Project ID:NSC97-2221-E182-046
Status | Finished |
---|---|
Effective start/end date | 01/08/08 → 31/07/09 |
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