Abstract
自從工業革命後,世界各國致力於經濟發展,並視自然資源(包括能源及環境品
質)為短期不匱乏之要素,但到了一九六○年代以後,逐漸體認到這些長期投入經濟體系,
所耗用之自然資源,終有使用怠盡之一日,因此如何在永續發展,並使整體資源做最有效配
置之觀念下,來解決經濟、能源、環境部門間之衝突問題便成為一重要課題。本研究以混合
式投入產出分析為基礎,將所有產業部門分成非能源部門及能源部門,再利用模糊多目標規
劃法來求解,使使得GDP為最大(經濟目標),總能源使用量為最小(能源目標),二氧化
碳排放量為最低(環境目標),而受限於最終需求、能源供需均衡、污染排放、二氧化碳排
放、水資源、勞動供給等限制式,再以產業部門產值與限制式右界值之成長率為決策變數,
並以民國八十年之實證資料來模擬民戰八十九年各產業發展、能源使用與污染排放的情況,
以瞭解未來整體資源之配置。在面對不同研究資料的情況下,為了找尋可行解,本研究引入
模糊多標方法與3E模型結合,來求得民國八十九年之情境。
Since the industrial Revolution, most countries have devoted their energies to developing their economies, and they have treated natural resources (including energy and environmental quality) as inconsequential factors in the short term. After the 1960s, we realized that natural resources would be used up someday. To keep sustainable development and allocate useable resource effeciently and to aolve the conflicting problems between economic development, energy use and environmental quality are major issues. This study is based on the hybrid input-output analysis separate all industrial sectors into non-energy and energy sectors, and utilize fuzzy multiobjective programming to solve the problem. It will maximize GDP, minimize energy-use and minimize CO?疾mission. These three objectives are subject to constraints. Moreover, they are use increasing percentage of the industrial sector's output value and the right-hand-side of the constraints to be decision variables. The study has use information obtained in 1991 to simulate the expected industrial development, energy use and emission of a pollutants in the year 2000 to achieve the whole situation of resource allocation. In order to find a feasible solution with information from different studies, this study combines the fuzzy multiobjective method with the 3E model to find the scenario in the year 2000.
Since the industrial Revolution, most countries have devoted their energies to developing their economies, and they have treated natural resources (including energy and environmental quality) as inconsequential factors in the short term. After the 1960s, we realized that natural resources would be used up someday. To keep sustainable development and allocate useable resource effeciently and to aolve the conflicting problems between economic development, energy use and environmental quality are major issues. This study is based on the hybrid input-output analysis separate all industrial sectors into non-energy and energy sectors, and utilize fuzzy multiobjective programming to solve the problem. It will maximize GDP, minimize energy-use and minimize CO?疾mission. These three objectives are subject to constraints. Moreover, they are use increasing percentage of the industrial sector's output value and the right-hand-side of the constraints to be decision variables. The study has use information obtained in 1991 to simulate the expected industrial development, energy use and emission of a pollutants in the year 2000 to achieve the whole situation of resource allocation. In order to find a feasible solution with information from different studies, this study combines the fuzzy multiobjective method with the 3E model to find the scenario in the year 2000.
Original language | Chinese (Traditional) |
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Pages (from-to) | 683-707 |
Journal | 管理學報 |
Volume | 15 |
Issue number | 4 |
State | Published - 1998 |