A Radiotherapy Dose Map-Guided Deep Learning Method for Predicting Pathological Complete Response in Esophageal Cancer Patients after Neoadjuvant Chemoradiotherapy Followed by Surgery

Esophageal cancer is a deadly disease, and neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy can improve patient survival, particularly for patients achieving a pathological complete response (ypCR). However, existing imaging methods struggle to accurately predict ypCR. This study explores computer-aided detection methods, considering both imaging data and radiotherapy dose variations to enhance prediction accuracy. It involved patients with node-positive esophageal squamous cell carcinoma undergoing neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy and surgery, with data collected from 2014 to 2017, randomly split into five subsets for 5-fold cross-validation. The algorithm DCRNet, an advanced version of OCRNet, integrates RT dose distribution into dose contextual representations (DCR), combining dose and pixel representation with ten soft regions. Among the 80 enrolled patients (mean age 55.68 years, primarily male, with stage III disease and middle-part lesions), the ypCR rate was 28.75%, showing no significant demographic or disease differences between the ypCR and non-ypCR groups. Among the three summarization methods, the maximum value across the CTV method produced the best results with an AUC of 0.928. The HRNetV2p model with DCR performed the best among the four backbone models tested, with an AUC of 0.928 (95% CI, 0.884–0.972) based on 5-fold cross-validation, showing significant improvement compared to other models. This underscores DCR-equipped models’ superior AUC outcomes. The study highlights the potential of dose-guided deep learning in ypCR prediction, necessitating larger, multicenter studies to validate the results.