Clinical predictors for neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio changes in patients with chronic hepatitis b receiving peginterferon treatment

Background: A lower neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) was found to be associated with better clinical outcomes in hepatitis B-related liver cirrhosis and hepatocellular carcinoma. We aimed to identify pretherapeutic variables capable of predicting NLR changes in patients with hepatitis B receiving peginterferon therapy. Patients and Methods: The baseline clinicopathological data were analyzed to correlate with NLR changes before and 1 year after peginterferon treatment in 71 patients with hepatitis B. Results: Univariate analysis revealed that pretreatment NLR itself negatively predicted NLR changes following peginterferon treatment (odds ratio(OR)=0.320, p=0.013). Further analysis identified pre-treatment NLR, hemoglobin and hepatitis B surface antigen level as independent predictors for NLR changes (adjusted p=0.028, 0.005, and 0.028, respectively). A predictive score composed of these three factors had an area under the curve of 76.5% (p<0.001). Conclusion: Pretreatment NLR, hemoglobin and hepatitis B surface antigen level in combination, effectively predicted NLR changes following peginterferon treatment.