Early reduction in albuminuria is associated with a steeper ‘dip’ in initial estimated glomerular filtration rate but favourable long-term kidney outcomes in people with diabetes receiving sodium-glucose cotransporter-2 inhibitors

Aim: To assess if early change in albuminuria was linked to an initial change in estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) and long-term kidney outcomes in people with type 2 diabetes (T2D) receiving sodium-glucose cotransporter-2 (SGLT2) inhibitors. Methods: Using a medical database from a multicentre healthcare institute in Taiwan, we retrospectively enrolled 8310 people receiving SGLT2 inhibitors from 1 June 2016 to 31 December 2021. We compared the risks of initial eGFR decline, major adverse renal events (MARE; >50% eGFR reduction or development of end-stage kidney disease), major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE), or hospitalization for heart failure (HHF) using a Cox proportional hazards model. Results: In all, 36.8% (n = 3062) experienced a >30% decrease, 21.0% (n = 1743) experienced a 0%–30% decrease, 14.4% (n = 1199) experienced a 0%–30% increase, and 27.7% (n = 2306) experienced a >30% increase in urine albumin-to-creatine ratio (UACR) after 3 months of SGLT2 inhibitor treatment. Greater acute eGFR decline at 3 months correlated with greater UACR reduction: −3.6 ± 10.9, −2.0 ± 9.5, −1.1 ± 8.6, and −0.3 ± 9.7 mL/min/1.73 m² for the respective UACR change groups (p < 0.001). Over a median of 29.0 months, >30% UACR decline was associated with a higher risk of >30% initial eGFR decline (hazard ratio [HR] 2.68, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.61–4.47]), a lower risk of MARE (HR 0.66, 95% CI 0.48–0.89), and a comparable risk of MACE or HHF after multivariate adjustment (p < 0.05). The nonlinear analysis showed early UACR decline was linked to a lower risk of MARE but a higher risk of initial steep eGFR decline of >30%. Conclusion: Physicians should be vigilant for the potential adverse effects of abrupt eGFR dipping associated with a profound reduction in UACR, despite the favourable long-term kidney outcomes in the population with T2D receiving SGLT2 inhibitor treatment.