Neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio and scoring system for predicting coronary artery lesions of Kawasaki disease

Ling Sai Chang, Yi Ju Lin, Jia Huei Yan, Mindy Ming Huey Guo, Mao Hung Lo, Ho Chang Kuo*

*Corresponding author for this work

Research output: Contribution to journalJournal Article peer-review

32 Scopus citations

Abstract

Background: Kawasaki disease (KD) causes coronary artery lesions (CAL) and is the leading cause of acquired heart disease in children. The aim of this study is to evaluate the risk factors and set-up a scoring system for predicting CAL of KD. Methods: We retrospectively reviewed a total of 478 patients diagnosed with KD. We compared age, gender, laboratory data, and treatment response in two groups and developed a scoring system for predicting CAL. Results: During the study period, 365 of these patients had complete medical records of coronary surveys by echocardiography. Anemia, hypoalbuminemia, C reactive protein (CRP), alanine aminotransferase, neutrophil count, and neutrophil/lymphocyte ratio (NLR) showed significant differences with CAL formation. We determined the cut-off value using a receiver-operating-characteristic (ROC) curve, and following multivariate logistic regression analysis, four independent risk factors demonstrated a significant difference with CAL formation, including CRP > 103 mg/L, NLR > 3.5, male gender, and intravenous immunoglobulin (IVIG) resistance. We established a score system based on the above evaluation, for which a ROC curve was performed, and a total score of ≥ 2 points showed a sensitivity of 60.8% and a specificity of 70.6%, with an area under the ROC curve of 0.696. Conclusions: Identifying children at risk is important in order to prevent CAL from developing. Four independent risk factors that can predict CAL formation were CRP > 103 mg/L, NLR > 3.5, male gender, and IVIG resistance. This first report incorporated NLR into score systems to predict CAL reinforces previously well-known risk factors for the CAL formation among KD patients.

Original languageEnglish
Article number398
JournalBMC Pediatrics
Volume20
Issue number1
DOIs
StatePublished - 24 08 2020

Bibliographical note

Publisher Copyright:
© 2020 The Author(s).

Keywords

  • CRP
  • Coronary Artery Lesions
  • IVIG resistance
  • Kawasaki Disease
  • Neutrophil-to-Lymphocyte Ratio
  • Scoring System

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