Optimistic and pessimistic decision making with dissonance reduction using interval-valued fuzzy sets

Ting Yu Chen*

*Corresponding author for this work

Research output: Contribution to journalJournal Article peer-review

63 Scopus citations

Abstract

Interval-valued fuzzy sets have been developed and applied to multiple criteria analysis. However, the influence of optimism and pessimism on subjective judgments and the cognitive dissonance that accompanies the decision making process have not been studied thoroughly. This paper presents a new method to reduce cognitive dissonance and to relate optimism and pessimism in multiple criteria decision analysis in an interval-valued fuzzy decision environment. We utilized optimistic and pessimistic point operators to measure the effects of optimism and pessimism, respectively, and further determined a suitability function through weighted score functions. Considering the two objectives of maximal suitability and dissonance reduction, several optimization models were constructed to obtain the optimal weights for the criteria and to determine the corresponding degree of suitability for alternative rankings. Finally, an empirical study was conducted to validate the feasibility and applicability of the current method. We anticipate that the proposed method can provide insight on the influences of optimism, pessimism, and cognitive dissonance in decision analysis studies.

Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)479-502
Number of pages24
JournalInformation Sciences
Volume181
Issue number3
DOIs
StatePublished - 01 02 2011

Keywords

  • Cognitive dissonance
  • Decision analysis
  • Interval-valued fuzzy set
  • Multiple criteria analysis
  • Optimism
  • Optimization model
  • Pessimism
  • Point operator

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