Prognostic Effects of Liver Fibrosis and Steatosis Determined Using Transient Elastography in Patients with Chronic Hepatitis B or C

Background: The prognostic effects of liver fibrosis and steatosis in patients with chronic hepatitis B or C are unclear. We investigated the prognostic effects of liver fibrosis and steatosis determined through transient elastography (TE) in patients with chronic hepatitis B or C. Methods: This retrospective cohort study enrolled 5528 patients with chronic hepatitis B or C who received TE. Multivariate Cox regression was used to evaluate the associations between fibrosis and steatosis grades and the occurrence of hepatic-related events, cardiovascular events, and mortality. Liver stiffness measurements of ≥ 7.1, ≥ 9.5, and ≥ 12.5 kPa were considered to indicate significant fibrosis (≥ F2), advanced fibrosis (≥ F3), and cirrhosis (≥ F4), and controlled attenuation parameters of ≥ 230 and ≥ 264 dB/m were considered to indicate mild (S1) and moderate-to-severe (S2–S3) steatosis, respectively. Results: During a median follow-up of 3.1 years, 489 patients died, 814 had hepatic-related events, and 209 had cardiovascular events. The incidences of these outcomes were lowest among individuals with no- or mild-fibrosis (F0–F1), and increased with fibrosis severity. The incidence of adverse outcomes was highest among patients without steatosis (S0) and lowest among those with moderate-to-severe steatosis. Adjusted models indicated that F2, F3, and F4 were independent risk factors and that moderate-to-severe steatosis was a favorable marker for hepatic-related events. Cirrhosis was an independent factor for mortality. Conclusions: According to TE, increasing fibrosis grades and absence of steatosis were associated with higher risks of hepatic-related events, whereas cirrhosis was a risk factor for mortality in patients with chronic hepatitis B or C.