Stock Selection System Through Suitability Index and Fuzzy-Based Quantitative Characteristics

Jia Hao Syu, Jerry Chun Wei Lin*, Chi Jen Wu, Jan Ming Ho

*Corresponding author for this work

Research output: Contribution to journalJournal Article peer-review

5 Scopus citations

Abstract

With the rapid development of quantitative trading, stock selection is an ongoing task that requires consideration of the characteristics of stocks and investment strategies. Fuzzy set theory is excellent for modeling and describing abstract characteristics to establish the link between stocks and strategies. In this article, we present our idea for a stock selection system called TripleS. It is based on the suitability index (SI) derived from fuzzy-set theory. The TripleS relies on the position size to extract the stock characteristics SI that describes not only the characteristics of each stock but also the extent to which they are suitable for certain strategies. Then, the SI undergoes a transformation process in the hands of the developed fuzzy-set modules for stock selection and investment. There are some other proposed methods for stock selection respectively called TripleS-T1, TripleS-T2, TripleS-T2U, TripleS-EF, and TripleS-EFT. Experimental results show that the proposed TripleS has minor improvement in precision but significant improvement in investment performance. The TripleS-EFT has outstanding profitability, the highest annual return in all strategies, and the highest Sharpe ratio in two of the four strategies, and achieves an annual return of 10.01% and a Sharpe ratio of 1.032, which significantly outperform the benchmark system. The TripleS-EFT also significantly outperforms the state-of-the-art fuzzy-based system in measuring annual return and even has double the annual return in several strategies.

Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)322-334
Number of pages13
JournalIEEE Transactions on Fuzzy Systems
Volume31
Issue number1
DOIs
StatePublished - 01 01 2023

Bibliographical note

Publisher Copyright:
© 1993-2012 IEEE.

Keywords

  • Contrarian
  • fuzzy-set
  • momentum
  • position sizing
  • stock selection
  • suitability index
  • trading system

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