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The information content of the S and P 500 index and VIX options on the dynamics of the S and P 500 index

  • San Lin Chung
  • , Wei Che Tsai
  • , Yaw Huei Wang*
  • , Pei Shih Weng
  • *Corresponding author for this work
  • National Taiwan University
  • National Central University

Research output: Contribution to journal › Journal Article › peer-review

41 Scopus citations

Abstract

Given that both S and P 500 index and VIX options essentially contain information about the future dynamics of the S and P 500 index, in this study, we set out to empirically investigate the informational roles played by these two option markets with regard to the prediction of returns, volatility, and density in the S and P 500 index. Our results reveal that the information content implied from these two option markets is not identical. In addition to the information extracted from the S and P 500 index options, all of the predictions for the S and P 500 index are significantly improved by the information recovered from the VIX options. Our findings are robust to various measures of realized volatility and methods of density evaluation.

Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)1170-1201
Number of pages32
JournalJournal of Futures Markets
Volume31
Issue number12
DOIs
StatePublished - 12 2011
Externally publishedYes

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