The relationship between plasma sphingosine-1-phosphate, plasma apolipoprotein M, obesity, and the risk of incident type 2 diabetes: a prospective cohort study

  • Kang Chih Fan
  • , I. Weng Yen
  • , Chia Hung Lin
  • , Chung Yi Yang
  • , Chun Heng Kuo
  • , Szu Chi Chen
  • , Ya Pin Lyu
  • , Hsien Chia Juan
  • , Mao Shin Lin
  • , Shu Huei Wang
  • , Hung Yuan Li*
  • *Corresponding author for this work

Research output: Contribution to journalJournal Article peer-review

Abstract

Objectives: Type 2 diabetes (T2D) is a growing global health challenge, necessitating novel biomarkers for early risk assessment. This study investigates the associations between plasma sphingosine-1-phosphate (S1P), apolipoprotein M (ApoM), obesity measures, and the risk of incident T2D. Methods: We utilized data from the Taiwan Lifestyle Study, a prospective cohort initiated in 2006. A total of 1207 individuals without diabetes at baseline were included. Abdominal fat distribution was assessed using computed tomography, while plasma S1P and ApoM levels were measured using ELISA. Results: During an average follow-up of 5.93 years, 152 participants developed diabetes. Plasma S1P correlated with visceral, peritoneal, and retroperitoneal fat (all p < 0.001), while ApoM correlated with total, subcutaneous, and visceral fat (all p < 0.001). In adjusted models, plasma S1P significantly predicted diabetes (HR 0.52, 95% CI 0.35–0.77, p = 0.001), whereas plasma ApoM did not (HR 1.16, 95% CI 0.94–1.43, p = 0.170). The predictive model incorporating S1P showed an AUC of 0.7698 and a concordance statistic of 0.7637, outperforming traditional risk factors. Conclusions: Plasma S1P and ApoM are both associated with obesity. However, only plasma S1P is a good predictive biomarker for incident T2D, underscoring its potential for early risk assessment and intervention.

Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)2320-2326
Number of pages7
JournalInternational Journal of Obesity
Volume49
Issue number11
DOIs
StatePublished - 11 2025
Externally publishedYes

Bibliographical note

Publisher Copyright:
© The Author(s), under exclusive licence to Springer Nature Limited 2025.

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