TY - GEN
T1 - Forecasting analysis for global copper clad laminate market
AU - Hsiao, Yu Yao
AU - Wang, Fu Kwun
PY - 2011
Y1 - 2011
N2 - Demand forecasting is one of critical reference by top managers to make the strategy decision for future investment. The copper clad laminate(CCL) is the key material for print circuit board(PCB) and it can apply for consumer, computer, LCD, communication, automotive, aero space, medicine and defense application. The total global sale for PCB in 2008 is US$ 48.2 billion. In this research, we use grey model GM(1,1), rolling grey model(RGM) and Bass diffusion model to analysis global CCL market by six market segments - paper, composite, FR-4, FR-4 High Tg, FR-4 halogen free, Specialty between 2001-2008. The forecasting accuracy of global CCL market by six market segment was evaluated along with mean absolute percentage error(MAPE). In this study, Bass diffusion model MAPE outperforms the others two models GM(1,1) and RGM for this global CCL market forecasting analysis and is recommend for global CCL market forecasting analysis.
AB - Demand forecasting is one of critical reference by top managers to make the strategy decision for future investment. The copper clad laminate(CCL) is the key material for print circuit board(PCB) and it can apply for consumer, computer, LCD, communication, automotive, aero space, medicine and defense application. The total global sale for PCB in 2008 is US$ 48.2 billion. In this research, we use grey model GM(1,1), rolling grey model(RGM) and Bass diffusion model to analysis global CCL market by six market segments - paper, composite, FR-4, FR-4 High Tg, FR-4 halogen free, Specialty between 2001-2008. The forecasting accuracy of global CCL market by six market segment was evaluated along with mean absolute percentage error(MAPE). In this study, Bass diffusion model MAPE outperforms the others two models GM(1,1) and RGM for this global CCL market forecasting analysis and is recommend for global CCL market forecasting analysis.
KW - Bass diffusion model
KW - Copper clad laminate
KW - GM(1,1)
KW - Print circuit board
KW - Rolling GM
UR - https://www.scopus.com/pages/publications/84862951013
M3 - 会议稿件
AN - SCOPUS:84862951013
SN - 9788988678480
T3 - Proceedings - 3rd International Conference on Data Mining and Intelligent Information Technology Applications, ICMIA 2011
SP - 217
EP - 221
BT - Proceedings - 3rd International Conference on Data Mining and Intelligent Information Technology Applications, ICMIA 2011
T2 - 3rd International Conference on Data Mining and Intelligent Information Technology Applications, ICMIA 2011
Y2 - 24 October 2011 through 26 October 2011
ER -